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Karas Ukrainoje: kam naudingas Kachovkos užtvankos sunaikinimas?
11.06.2023
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Karas Ukrainoje: kam naudingas Kachovkos užtvankos sunaikinimas?
2023 m. birželio 6 d. Ukrainoje buvo sugriauta Kachovkos hidroelektrinės užtvanka. Nors nėra nei aiškių įrodymų, nei tyrimo, Vakarų žiniasklaidai ir politikams atrodo visiškai aišku, kad kaltininkė yra Rusija. Tačiau ar viskas taip paprasta? Šioje laidoje nagrinėjamas šis klausimas ir siūloma išsiaiškinti motyvus.
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Karas Ukrainoje: kam naudingas Kachovkos užtvankos sunaikinimas?
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11.06.2023 | www.kla.tv/26286
2023 m. birželio 6 d. anksti ryte Ukrainoje buvo sugriauta Kachovkos hidroelektrinės užtvanka. Užtvankos plotas - 2155 km², t. y. maždaug Liuksemburgo dydžio. Dėl užtvankos griūties žemupyje kilo dideli potvyniai. JT skubios pagalbos koordinatorius kalba apie galimas rimtas ir toli siekiančias pasekmes regiono žmonėms. Užtvanką kontroliavo Rusija. Kijevas ir Maskva kaltina vienas kitą ekologiniu terorizmu. Ukrainos prezidento Zelenskio teigimu, Rusijos kariai užtvanką susprogdino iš vidaus. Jis tariamą sprogdinimą palygino su „ekologinio masinio naikinimo ginklo“ panaudojimu. Nors nėra nei tyrimo, nei aiškių įrodymų, Vakarų žiniasklaidai ir politikams atrodo, kad klausimas išspręstas: Šveicarijos radijas ir televizija SRF: Yra daug požymių, kad už užtvankos susprogdinimą atsakinga Rusija. Dauguma stebėtojų daro prielaidą, kad ... ES Tarybos pirmininkas Michelis: „... Mes reikalausime, kad Rusija ir jos įgaliotiniai būtų patraukti atsakomybėn“. Vokietijos užsienio reikalų ministrė Annalena Baerbock: „Už šią ekologinę katastrofą atsakingas tik vienas asmuo: Rusijos nusikalstamas agresyvus karas prieš Ukrainą“. Vokietijos kancleris Scholzas: „Rusijos tikslas buvo sustabdyti Ukrainos ginkluotųjų pajėgų puolimą“. Estijos ministrė pirmininkė Kaja Kallas: „Rusija yra teroristinė valstybė, kuri dabar vandenį naudoja kaip ginklą.“ Tai tik keletas pavyzdžių, liudijančių apie išankstinį nusistatymą prieš Rusijos vyriausybę. - Tai daroma nepaisant to, kad net nenustatyta, kaip buvo sugriauta užtvanka. Netgi SRF rašo: „Ar užtvanka buvo tyčia susprogdinta, ar tiesiog nepakankamai prižiūrima Rusijos okupacijos metais, šiuo metu negalima pasakyti“. Tačiau nepaminėta, kad užtvanką lygiai taip pat lengvai galėjo užpulti Ukrainos pajėgos. Laikraščio „Washington Post“ 2022 m. gruodžio mėn. straipsnyje buvo patvirtinta, kad Ukrainos pajėgos jau atakavo užtvanką naudodamos raketas HIMARS. Taip pat žinoma, kad vienas Ukrainos generolas praėjusių metų gruodžio mėn. komentaruose laikraščiui „Washington Post“ prisipažino planavęs atakas prieš Kachovkos užtvanką. Kad būtų galima išsiaiškinti, kas apskritai kaltas, pirmiausia reikia išsiaiškinti motyvų klausimą: Kam naudinga sunaikinti Kachovkos užtvanką? Apie užtvankos sunaikinimo galimybę buvo žinoma jau kurį laiką. Dar 2022 m. lapkričio 30 d. JAV karinis analitikas Michaelas Kofmanas teigė: „Užtvankos sunaikinimas reikštų, kad Rusija iš esmės pati sau nupjaus koją. Rusijos kontroliuojama Chersono srities dalis, kurią tikėtina, išlaisvins ukrainiečiai, būtų užtvindyta daug labiau, nei vakarinė dalis.“ Tuo tarpu ši dalis jau yra „išvaduota“. Be to, atsirastų „antrinių padarinių“, kurie būtų sunkūs Rusijai, sakė Kofmanas. Po kurio laiko upės lygis už užtvankos nukristų. Tai keltų grėsmę Krymo vandens tiekimui. Taip pat galėtų pasunkėti Zaporožės elektrinės aprūpinimas aušinimo vandeniu. Ką galima pasakyti jau praėjus kelioms valandoms po užtvankos pralaužimo: Užtvankos griuvimas daugiausia sunaikino Rusijos pozicijas. Rusijos kontroliuojamas kairysis Dniepro krantas yra žemesnis už Ukrainos kontroliuojamą krantą. Rusija prie upės pastatė savo gynybinius įtvirtinimus, kurie po sprogimo bus nenaudingi, nes jau dabar yra iki penkių metrų po vandeniu. Tai, kad užtvankos sunaikinimas sutampa su pranešimais apie Ukrainos kontrpuolimo pradžią, labiau byloja Ukrainos kaltę. Rusija turi perdislokuoti savo karius ir evakuoti civilius gyventojus. Kadangi milžiniška užtvanka dabar tampa „upe“, Ukrainos kariuomenė gali lengviau pereiti į kitą krantą ir pulti Rusijos karius. Rezervuaras buvo svarbus abiejų pusių aprūpinimui vandeniu. Ypač Krymui, kuriam trūksta vandens, vanduo iš rezervuaro buvo tiekiamas kanalu. Jei Maskva būtų panaudojusi užtvankos sunaikinimą kaip „ginklą“, tai būtų buvę nukreipta prieš jos pačios gyventojus, o tai vargu ar prasminga. Be to, yra ir propagandinis poveikis. Kijevas kaltina Rusiją susprogdinus užtvanką, o Vakarų žiniasklaidos mašina tai kartoja nekontroliuojamai ir nenumaldomai. Rusija vadinama „teroristine valstybe“, nes susprogdino užtvanką ir sukėlė pavojų civiliams gyventojams. Žinomas JAV televizijos laidų vedėjas Tuckeris Carlsonas tviteryje apibendrina: „Užtvankos susprogdinimas gali būti nenaudingas Ukrainai, bet Rusijai jis kenkia labiau, ir būtent todėl Ukrainos vyriausybė svarstė galimybę sunaikinti užtvanką.“ Kol kas negalima tiksliai pasakyti, kaip ir kas sugriovė užtvanką. Tačiau galima pasakyti, kad negalima pasitikėti nė viena iš dviejų kariaujančių pusių: „Pirmas dalykas, kuris miršta kare, yra tiesa!“ Vakarų žiniasklaida ir ypač politikai vėl demaskuojami kaip karo kurstytojai. Pasitelkus kruopščią žurnalistiką ir sugretinus motyvus, Kijevą tikrai galima patraukti atsakomybėn už užtvankos sugriovimą.
von nuo dd.
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ANTI-SPIEGEL: Wer profitiert von der Sprengung? https://www.anti-spiegel.ru/2023/ukraine-sprengt-staudamm-von-kachowka/