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2025 年 1 月,全球最大的金融集团贝莱德(BlackRock)与美国六家最重要的银行一起退出了 "零净气候联盟"。 最强大的中央银行美联储(简称 FED)离开了 "绿色金融系统网络"。 与此同时,美国新总统特朗普宣布将再次完全依赖化石燃料。 [唐纳德-特朗普:"我们将钻井,宝贝,钻井"。 面对极端天气现象,许多年轻人开始参与气候运动,如 "未来星期五 "或 "灭绝反叛"。 主要投资者的退出无疑是一记响亮的耳光。 为了更好地对当前事件进行分类,让我们先来看看气候保护运动的起源。 1. 气候运动的兴起 2006 年,美国政治家和企业家阿尔-戈尔(Al Gore)首次以电影《难以忽视的真相》(An Inconvenient Truth)面对世界公众。 这描绘了人为全球变暖造成的末日景象。 戈尔是一位千万富翁,曾任比尔-克林顿总统的第 45 任美国副总统。 阿尔-戈尔在 2008 年 7 月预言:"我们目前的道路根本无法持续。 世界各地的科学家告诉我们,我们可能只剩下不到十年的时间,在这十年里,我们有机会做出巨大的改变,以防止气候危机带来灾难性的影响。 [......]而承担责任的唯一方法就是找到问题的根源,即化石燃料的燃烧。 从现在起,整个焦点都集中在减少二氧化碳排放上,将其视为万恶之源。 据估计,仅 2009 年,戈尔为赢得公众支持所花费的公关费用就高达 3 亿美元。 例如,阿尔-戈尔(Al Gore)成立了一些组织,培训所谓的 "气候领袖"[气候领域的领袖或倡议]。 这催生了 "未来星期五 "和 "灭绝反叛 "等运动。 格丽塔-图恩伯格、路易莎-诺伊鲍尔和亚历山德里亚-奥卡西奥-科特兹等偶像得到了特别宣传,并建立了一个庞大的气候网络。 2. 新技术作为超级富豪的商业模式 在公众看来,正是这些活动家(如格丽塔-图恩伯格)通过媒体有效的抗议活动向政治家施加了压力。 但公众的这种看法是否正确呢? 在格丽塔-图恩伯格首次公开露面的几年前,世界银行和世界经济论坛就已经为新的 "气候政策 "制定了方向。 在气候抗议活动开始前几年,金融巨头们也开始将数千亿未来投资基金投向往往毫无价值的 "气候公司",并扩大生产能力。 这使他们获得了市场领导者的地位,并为大宗交易做好了准备。 令人惊讶的是,在 2018 年 8 月葛丽泰第一次高调罢课后不久,政界人士就开始采取行动。 例如,2018 年 10 月 17 日,时任欧盟主席容克与 "清洁能源 "投资基金 "欧洲突破能源 "签署了一份意向书。起始方案:1 亿欧元。 因此,超级富裕的成员公司应优先获得欧盟的资助。 突破能源投资基金的创始人是比尔-盖茨。 成员包括 Facebook 的马克-扎克伯格(Mark Zuckerberg)、对冲基金巨头老虎管理公司(Tiger Management)的朱利安-罗伯逊(Julian Robertson)、凯雷集团(Carlyle Group)创始人大卫-鲁宾斯坦(David Rubenstein)、乔治-索罗斯(George Soros)、阿里巴巴的马云等超级富豪。 欧盟不断扩大 "气候技术 "市场。 2019 年 2 月,容克提议从 2022 年到 2027 年,将欧盟预算中每四分之一欧元用于减缓气候变化。 这给人的印象是,政客们通过立法为大公司的 "气候技术 "铺平了一条非常有利可图的市场之路。 他们有双重胜算。他们能够从欧盟的资助和对其产品的高需求中获益。 由于风能、太阳能和电动汽车等技术正得到大力推广,欧盟正向各国施加巨大压力,以满足这些需求。 诸如 "生态足迹 "或 "碳足迹 "等术语反映了这样一个事实,即二氧化碳现在已成为衡量万物的标准。 简而言之,"二氧化碳 "已成为股票市场上的一种新货币。 从一开始,重点就完全放在减少二氧化碳上,认为这是几乎所有天气问题的唯一原因。 没有风暴,就没有同样的标题: "气候变化是罪魁祸首!我们必须减少二氧化碳!"。 令人怀疑的是,在实际发生的毁灭性水灾和火灾中,根本没有考虑到其他原因。 更糟糕的是,科学界和专家质疑公众说法的声音根本没有机会在媒体上被听到。 例如,有无数专利揭示了如今制造气象灾害是多么轻而易举。 破坏环境的行为,如为开采有利可图的原材料而砍伐森林或扩建风力发电场,也几乎从未被讨论过。 片面强调仅由二氧化碳引起的 "气候变化",几乎完全忽视了严重的环境破坏和毁灭。 气候变化 "和环境破坏被以一种不可接受的方式等同起来。 回到政治:奥特马尔-埃登霍夫博士也证实,气候政策从一开始就与环境保护无关,而是与强硬的经济利益有关。 他是波茨坦气候影响研究所所长兼首席经济学家: "......必须明确指出,我们实际上是在通过气候政策重新分配世界财富。 [......]我们必须摆脱国际气候政策就是环境政策的幻想。 这与环境政策、森林砍伐或臭氧层空洞等问题几乎毫无关系"。 我的临时结论 因此,当巨型企业和亿万富翁们正式为更多的可持续发展和 "气候 "而奔走呼号时,他们同时也在牟取暴利。 3. 从气候联盟大规模出逃 现在我们回到最开始的话题--贝莱德公司退出气候联盟。 问题是:为什么最大的投资者现在要远离 "绿色技术",而把重点放在核能上? 美国总统特朗普为什么又想完全依赖化石燃料? 他们是突然不关心环境了?还是他们一直都无动于衷? 金融专家和分析师 Ernst Wolff 提供了一个非常容易理解的理由。 [Ernst Wolff:]"新的重要议程与人工智能有关。 有趣的是,今年在达沃斯举行的世界经济论坛的主题是 "智能时代的合作",即一切都与人工智能有关。 最近,尤其是在瑞士,有关世界经济论坛的所有报道都一再提到人工智能。 它总是被说成不是威胁,而是会创造新的就业机会,所以我们根本不需要担心。事实恰恰相反。 [......]"因此,有权势的人自然对推动这种人工智能的发展有着极大的兴趣,因为用它也可以赚很多钱。 值得注意的是,贝莱德刚刚退出了联合国的 "零净值 "倡议。 这是因为我们现在关注的不再是气候变化,而是核能。 而且,由于核电站无法如此迅速地建成,因此需要几年时间--可能是几年--才能投入使用,所以我们目前只能依靠化石燃料。 如果依靠它们,就无法坚持气候议程。 有趣的是,他们中没有一个人说过应该取消二氧化碳税。 因此,他们将继续肆无忌惮地敛财,当然,我们也会看到,在世界经济论坛上,整个事情会以某种方式得到意识形态的支持"。 4. 人工智能的能耗及其可持续性 人工智能的可持续性是人工智能公司内部激烈争论的话题。 2024 年 11 月 26 日,阿尔-戈尔的网站上发布了一份讨论摘要。 "根据一项估计,OpenAI 的 GPT-4 [人工智能支持更复杂的写作任务,如脚本、歌曲等] 需要50 千兆瓦时(GWh)的电力来进行训练--大约相当于一个小镇的年耗电量。 [...]随着人工智能模型越来越好,它们需要越来越大的数据中心。 [......]扎克伯格说,运营一个数据中心可能需要整个发电厂。 [......]国际能源机构(IEA)假设,2022 年至 2026 年间能源需求将几乎翻一番。 不过,也有一些预测要激烈得多。[...]" 结论也很有启发性: "老实说,我们认为云计算提供商不太可能为了实现气候目标而放慢数据中心的扩张速度。 毕竟,他们认为自己正处于一场发明 "数字上帝 "的竞赛中--因此,对他们来说,建设速度不够快的风险远远大于建设速度过快的风险。 所以,最有权势的人之所以改变路线,不再使用替代能源,原因就在于此: "绿色能源 "不足以满足全球数字网络和人工智能的扩张需求。 我们再来总结一下: 1 从一开始,人们就被片面的二氧化碳气候警报吓坏了。 由阿尔-戈尔等富有的企业说客经营的公关公司在媒体上宣传葛丽泰-图恩伯格等偶像。 气候运动是人民对政治家的喉舌。 2 政客们异常迅速地通过了减少二氧化碳排放的法律,并为官方 "绿色技术 "创造了巨大的市场。 赢家:早在很久之前就 "不约而同 "地在这些技术上投资数十亿美元的大公司。 事实上,它们是双重赢家:既能用产品赚钱,又能从税收中获得补贴。 3 在人工智能等 "宠儿项目 "上,大公司佯装的可持续发展就显而易见了。 能源需求和经常提到的二氧化碳排放量都在大幅增加,这并不重要。 暂且不提开垦土地造成的其他环境破坏、稀土矿对水和土壤的毒害等。 为了避免危及数字革命,任何手段都是好的。 气候联盟?只要它们符合金融巨鳄的利益。 4 由此可见,最有影响力的圈子从未真正关注过环境保护。 数字金融综合体的目标是创造一个 "数字上帝"。 人们被一些枝节问题所吸引,比如核能和化石燃料还是可再生能源更有利于保护 "气候"。 然而,那些贪得无厌的资源主要消费者却被排除在辩论之外。 我们的结论:"气候运动 "毫无进展,正被政客和最大的金融集团滥用,以谋取自身利益。 只要人们关注过度开发地球的真正肇事者,这将是朝着真正的环境保护迈出的决定性一步。 要想不被人利用,请不要眨着眼睛了解情况!
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FED 离开新西兰律师协会 https://orf.at/stories/3382115/
https://www.handelsblatt.com/finanzen/geldpolitik/usa-fed-verlaesst-klimaallianz-der-notenbanken/100101541.html
美国银行离开新西兰银行协会 https://table.media/esg/news/dekarbonisierung-warum-us-banken-die-net-zero-banking-alliance-verlassen-2/
https://climaterealism.com/2025/01/the-global-net-zero-financial-cartel-falling-apart
特朗普青睐化石燃料 https://climaterealism.com/2025/01/the-global-net-zero-financial-cartel-falling-apart/
https://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/donald-trump-und-fossile-energietraeger-der-oelrausch-eines-einzelnen-mannes-a-1416bf0a-9a4b-4eb6-9dd9-cfe40a5f80ca
https://taz.de/US-Praesident-Trump/!6048705/
1. 气候运动的出现 Al Gore https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Al_Gore
https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eine_unbequeme_Wahrheit
能源转型的公关费用 https://www.politico.com/story/2008/03/gore-launches-300-million-campaign-009268
https://www.tichyseinblick.de/meinungen/gretas-milliardaere-millionen-fuer-den-klimaaufstand/
https://www.tichyseinblick.de/daili-es-sentials/klima-die-gekaufte-rebellion/
戈尔为绿色气候政策指明方向 https://free21.org/das-klima-und-die-spur-des-geldes/
Breakthrough Energy Europe https://www.breakthroughenergy.org/our-work/
(Gates als Gründer) https://www.breakthroughenergy.org/our-work/breakthrough-energy-ventures/investors/
(Liste der Investoren) 欧盟官方文件/现金流证明 https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/ip_18_6125
https://www.breakthroughenergy.org/our-work/catalyst/eu-catalyst-partnership/
气候运动网络 https://www.tichyseinblick.de/meinungen/gretas-milliardaere-millionen-fuer-den-klimaaufstand/
https://www.tichyseinblick.de/daili-es-sentials/klima-die-gekaufte-rebellion/
https://www.wrongkindofgreen.org/2019/10/06/a-100-trillion-dollar-storytelling-campaign/
格丽塔-图恩贝格的首次亮相 https://www.zeit.de/campus/2019-08/greta-thunberg-klimaschutz-aktivistin-fridays-for-future
2. 绿色技术是超级富豪的商业模式 金融巨头向以前毫无价值的 “气候 ”公司投入巨资https://www.climatebonds.net/market/explaining-green-bonds
https://free21.org/das-klima-und-die-spur-des-geldes/
容克:每四欧元中就有一欧元流向可再生能源 https://www.wrongkindofgreen.org/2019/09/10/an-object-lesson-in-spectacle-excerpt-from-the-manufacturing-of-greta-thunberg-for-consent-volume-ii/
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-climatechange-teen-activist-idUSKCN1QA1RF/
https://www.b-t.energy/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/BE_EC_Memorandum_Of_Understanding_Oct_2018-1.pdf
比尔-盖茨 突破能源投资基金创始人 https://www.breakthroughenergy.org/our-work/
有争议的风力发电 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7RgyLDVlAg4
有争议的太阳能https://www.agrarheute.com/management/betriebsfuehrung/solarparks-fruchtbaren-aeckern-flaechenfrass-fuer-umwelt-578756
有争议的电动汽车 https://www.focus.de/auto/news/umstrittene-klima-bilanz-von-e-autos-elektro-gate-runde-zwei-in-der-wissenschafts-szene-brennt-jetzt-die-luft_id_13460743.html
成员 突破能源 https://www.b-t.energy/coalition/who-we-are/
当前投资者 https://www.breakthroughenergy.org/our-work/breakthrough-energy-ventures/investors/
税款转用于绿色技术投资 https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/ip_18_6125
https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/api/files/document/print/en/ip_18_6125/IP_18_6125_EN.pdf
https://www.wrongkindofgreen.org/2019/09/10/an-object-lesson-in-spectacle-excerpt-from-the-manufacturing-of-greta-thunberg-for-consent-volume-ii/
https://www.merkur.de/wirtschaft/solar-und-windkraft-boom-eeg-verguetung-frisst-steuergelder-habeck-zr-93397847.html
引自 Ottmar Edenhofer 博士的话https://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/11/18/ipcc-official-climate-policy-is-redistributing-the-worlds-wealth/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YiXouIQakm8
3. 大规模逃离气候联盟 金融和经济专家恩斯特-沃尔夫 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DFYF_45Hngo&t=1489s
4. 人工智能的能源消耗及其可持续性 主页生成im - 阿尔-戈尔 https://www.generationim.com/
关于 2024 年 11 月 26 日后人工智能可持续性的讨论文件 https://www.generationim.com/our-thinking/insights/is-ai-sustainable/
AI的能源消耗来源 https://www.powernewz.ch/rubriken/energieeffizienz/stromverbrauch-von-ki/
https://www.cell.com/joule/fulltext/S2542-4351
(23)00365-3 https://www.generationim.com/our-thinking/insights/is-ai-sustainable/
(siehe PDF) 耗水量 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2304.03271